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2013 Charlie Weis Anti Coach Effect of the Year

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2013  Charlie Weis Anti-Coach Effect of the Year

LAST UPDATE: 12|1|2013

This page will track all the net negative game coaches.  Every time a coach ‘beats’ the Matrix model in a predicted loss they will earn +1 game effect.  Each loss when a win was predicted is a -1 effect.  The coach with the greatest negative effect in 2013 with be our CFBMatrix Charlie Weis Anti-Coach Effect of the Year.

I have a number of reasons for feeling that this methodology is very good for considering the best and worst ‘coaching’ job for 2013.  (1) There is no media, popularity or emotional bias, (2) The CFBMatrix was the #1 publication in 2010, 2011 and 2012 for picking win/loss outcomes of all AQ football games in the pre-season and (3) it uses the same stats for picking the games and it does in  determining the best coaching  job.

To be a the Anti-Coach Effect of the Year, I see it as doing less with more (or maybe you and your staff are awful at scouting recruits).

*I decided to name the award after the original, single worst, negative coach effect season in the last 10 year of CFBMatrix tracking.  -7 games is so far an below the norm it is ridiculous.

2010 Anti-Coach Effect of the Year – Mack Brown – Texas – 7 games
2011 Anti-Coach Effect of the Year – Houston Nutt – Ole Miss & Mack Brown – Texas  -5 games
2012 Anti-Coach Effect of the Year – Gene Chizik – Auburn -7 games

2013 Anti-Coach Effect of the Year – Will Muschamp – Florida -7 Games

 (((LISTEN))) Update Summary thru Week #14 Anti-Coach Effect of the Year

Home Upsets week #14

  • Bo Pelini – Nebraska
  • Nobody – USC [insert S. Sarkisian here 2x or more in 2014]
  • Will Mushchamp – Florida
  • Dave Doeren – NC State
  • Larry ‘count on me for -3 games per year’ Fedora – North Carolina
  • Mike London – Virginia [to clinch the ACC Anti-COY]
  • Tim Beckman – Illinois
  • Charlie Weis – Kansas [only right he blew it at home in the last week to post a -1]
  • Gary Patterson – TCU
  • Non-AQs  Tulsa, ULL and Memphis

Road Upsets Week #14

  • Kyle Flood – Rutgers [-5 to wrap up by far the worst coach effect in the AAC]
  • Kevin Sumlin – Texas A&M
  • Non-AQs: South Florida, Fresno State and Toledo

2013 Current Leaders thru Week #14

Overall: -7 Games:  Will Muschamp* Florida

SEC – Will Muschamp – Florida -7 Games (Bret Bielema -2 led SEC West)
ACC – Mike London, Virginia -4 Games (Dave Doeren – NC State and Jim Grobe -2 game led Atlantic)
PAC12 – Sonny Dykes – Cal -5 games (Kyle Whittingham -2 led PAC12 South)
BIG 12  – Gary Patterson – TCU -4 Games
BIG TEN – Brady Hoke – Michigan at -4 games (Bill O’Brien – Penn State leads Leaders at -2)
American –  Kyle Flood, Rutgers -5 games

Note: Week a -1 game Coach Effect Occurred in (

-7 Games Coaching Effect

  • Will Muschamp – Florida (2) (8) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14)

-5 Games Coaching Effect

  • Sonny Dykes – Cal (1) (6) (8) (10) (12) (13)
  • Kyle Flood – Rutgers (1) (9) (12) (13) (14)  Note: Flood, although not the worst in terms of upset loss totals, had the worst per game gap in talent per upset.  At least the Gators were losing most of their games to top 20 recruiters.  Rutgers, a top 40 recruiter lost 4 games to teams that didn’t even recruit in the top 70. 

-4 Games Coaching Effect

  • Brady Hoke – Michigan (7) (10) (11) (13)
  • Willie Taggert – USF (1) (3) (12) (13)
  • Mike London – Virginia (6) (8) (9) (14)
  • Gary Patterson – TCU (3) (10) (12) (14)

-3 Games Coaching Effect

  • Paul Pasqualoni – UConn (1) (3) (5) FIRED
  • Mack Brown – Texas (2) (3) (12)
  • Dana Holgerson – WVU (4) (8) (9) (+1week 10) (12)
  • Dude at Houston (went -4 games last year)
  • Bill O’Brien –  Penn State (3) (6) (+1 in week 7) (11) (13)
  • Larry Fedora – North Carolina (4) (5) (8) (+1 week 12) (14)

-2 Games Coaching Effect

  • Mark Stoops – Kentucky (1) (3)
  • Frank Beemer – Va Tech (3) (9) (10) (+1 week 11) (12) (+1 week 14)
  • Lane Kiffin – USC (2) (5) FIRED
  • Steve Sarkisian – Washington (7) (8)
  • Brian Kelly – Notre Dame  (5) (11)
  • Kyle Whittingham – Utah (5) (13)
  • Butch Jones – Tennessee (10) (13)
  • Bret Bielema – Arkansas (7) (13)
  • Dave Doeren – NC State (7) (13)
  • Jim Grobe – Wake (6) (13)
  • Paul Chryst – Pitt (8) (12)
  • Rhule – Temple

Non-AQ Honorable Mention

  • -5 games Southern Miss
  • -4 Games:  Chow – Hawai’i
  • -3 W. Michigan,  Air Force, Memphis, Tulsa and Houston

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