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2013 Dr Bill Snyder Coach Effect of the Year

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2013  Bill Snyder Coach Effect of the Year

By BARTOO

Last update 12|1|2013

This page will track all the net positive game coaches.  Every time a coach ‘beats’ the Matrix model in a predicted loss they will earn +1 game effect.  Each loss when a win was predicted is a -1 effect.  The coach with the greatest positive effect in 2013 with be our CFBMatrix Bill Snyder Coach of the Year.

I have a number of reasons for feeling that this methodology is very good for considering the best and worst ‘coaching’ job for 2013.  (1) There is no media, popularity or emotional bias, (2) The CFBMatrix was the #1 publication in 2010, 2011 and 2012 for picking win/loss outcomes of all AQ football games in the pre-season and (3) it uses the same stats for picking the games and it does in  determining the best coaching  job.

To be a the Coach Effect of the Year, I see it as doing more with less.  The elite recruiters like Miles, Saban, Kelly, Hoke, etc should be doing well and winning a lot of games.  The CFBMatrix model has already conclusively proven that fact.

*I decided to name the award after the single best + coach effect season in the last 10 year of Matrix tracking.  +7 games is so far an above the norm it is ridiculous.  No one has, and in my opinion will, come close to that mark in the coming decade.  In this century there is only one head coach with 5+ years of experience with an annual + game effect over 3.  Snyder is at +4.1.

2010 Co-Coach Effect of the Year – Jim Harbaugh – Stanford and Bobby Petrino – Arkansas +4 games
2011 Coach Effect of the Year – Bill Snyder – Kansas State +7 games
2012 Coach Effect of the Year – Bill Snyder – Kansas State +8 games

2013 Coach Effect of the Year

George O’Leary – UCF +6 games and Gary Pinkel – Missouri +5 Games

Why a +6 guy and a +5 guy?  I really don’t consider the AAC a AQ conference that could even compete with any of the Big 5 conferences.  But O’Leary did beat Penn State and gave South Carolina a run.  This is more about Pinkel having an historic year in the SEC.  He has beat 4 CFBMatrix top 20 recruiters as a team that recruits outside the top 30 [beating Auburn would be a single season record 5] and a non-top 25 recruiter has never won an SEC division.

(((LISTEN))) Update through Week #14

 

Breakdown : Week #14, like week #13 and #12,  just added fuel to the avalanche of talent failures and great coaching efforts in 2013.  I have never seen a month like this November for upset after upset.  But a majority of it is coming from the same group of guys.  Of the 20 head coaches at +1 or better coach effect through week #8, 14 of them have a been ranking today. It’s like a broken record.  O’Leary, Cutcliffe, Pinkel, Graham all getting +1 game effect again this week and easily doing the most with the least in their conferences. A couple of guys fell to zero coach effect with bad loses this weekend.  3 guys posted their first +1 game effect and are on the board for the first time this season.

Home Upsets +1 Coaches Week 14

  • George O’Leary – Central Florida
  • Whoever the dude is at UConn.  [you are horrible Flood!]
  • Gary Pinkel – Missouri

Road Upset +1 Coaches Week #14

  • Jim Mora – UCLA
  • Jimbo Fisher – FSU
  • Kirk Ferentz – Iowa
  • Randy Edsall – Maryland
  • David Cutcliffe- Duke
  • Frank Beemer – Virginia Tech
  • Pat Fitzgerald – Northwestern
  • Dr Bill Synder – KState
  • Art Briles – Baylor

2013 Final Leader board

SEC –  Gary Pinkel* – Missouri +5 games (SEC West leaders Malzahn, Mullen & Sumlin +1)

ACC –  David Cutcliffe* – Duke +5 games (Atlantic leader Johnson +3)

PAC12 – Todd Graham* – Arizona State and Mike Leach* – Wazzu +4 Games

BIG 12  –  Mike Gundy* OK State +2 games

BIG TENJerry Kill/Tracy Claeys*  – Minnesota +4 games (Legends leader Dantonio +3)

American – O’Leary* – UCF  +6 *Coach is locked in for no worse than co-leader of Coach Effect for his conference

+6 Games Coaching Effect

  • George O’Leary – UCF (3) (6) (8) (11) (13) (14)

+5 Games Coaching Effect

  • Gary Pinkel – Missouri (7) (8) (10) (13) (14)
  • David Cutcliffe – Duke (8) (9) (12) (13) (14)

+4 Games Coaching Effect

  • Jerry Kill’s Interim Head Coach – Minnesota (8) (9) (10) (11)
  • Todd Graham – Arizona State (5) (8) (11) (13)
  • Mike Leach – Washington State (2) (6) (12) (13)

+3 Games Coaching Effect

  • Paul Johnson – Georgia Tech (4) (9) (10)
  • Mark Dantonio – Michigan State (6) (10) (12)
  • James Franklin – Vanderbilt (8) (11) (13)
  • Bill Snyder – KState (10) (12) (13)

+2 Games Coaching Effect

  • Gary Anderson – Wisconsin (8) (10)
  • Scott Shafer – Syracuse (7) (11)
  • Tommy Tuberville – Cincinnati (12) (13)
  • Steve Addazio – Boston College (10) (13)
  • Steve Spurrier – South Carolina (7) (12)
  • Art Briles – Baylor (10) (14)

Non-AQ Leaders

  • +5 Matt Wells Utah State
  • +4 Rod Carey Northern Illinois, Larry Coker – UTSA, and Rick Stockstill MTSU
  • +3 DeRuyter Fresno State, Todd Berry ULM

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