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The Charlie Weis Anti-Coach of the Year – Week 8

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The 5th Annual Charlie Weis Anti-Coach Effect of the Year

Thru Week #8

This page will track all the net negative game coaches.  Every time a coach ‘beats’ the Matrix model in a predicted loss they will earn +1 game effect.  Each loss when a win was predicted is a -1 effect.  The coach with the greatest negative effect in 2014 with be our CFBMatrix Charlie Weis Anti-Coach Effect of the Year.

I have a number of reasons for feeling that this methodology is very good for considering the best and worst ‘coaching’ job for 2013.  (1) There is no media, popularity or emotional bias, (2) The CFBMatrix was the #1 publication in 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013 for picking win/loss outcomes of all AQ football games in the pre-season and (3) it uses the same stats for picking the games and it does in  determining the best coaching  job.

To be a the Anti-Coach Effect of the Year, I see it as doing less with more (or maybe you and your staff are awful at scouting recruits).

*I decided to name the award after the original, single worst, negative coach effect season in the last 10 years of CFBMatrix tracking.  -7 games is so far below the norm it is ridiculous.

2010 Anti-Coach Effect of the Year – Mack Brown – Texas – 7 games
2011 Anti-Coach Effect of the Year – Houston Nutt – Ole Miss & Mack Brown – Texas  -5 games
2012 Anti-Coach Effect of the Year – Gene Chizik – Auburn -7 games
2013 Anti-Coach of the Year – Will Muschamp – Florida -7 games

Week #1      Week #2    Week #3    Week #4    Week #5   Week #6    Week #7

Dave’s Notes:  A lot of home loses this week.  That is not the place to be losing if you want to keep fans happy.  It’s one thing to lose on the road, it’s another to do it a home to paying season ticket holders and boosters.  Mora at UCLA has gone back to back -1s.  Sumlin bumps up to -2 as does Kingsbury of the Red Raiders.  Will waits until week 7 for a -1. And if Arizona kicks that field goal, Sarkisian would be tied with Brady.

Home Upsets Loses Week #8

  • Mike Riley – Oregon State vs Utah
  • Bob Stoops – Oklahoma vs Kansas State
  • Will Muschamp – Florida vs Missouri

Road Upset Loses Week #8

  • Frank Beamer  – Virginia Tech at Pitt
  • Mike London – Virginia at Duke
  • Mike Gundy – OK State at TCU
  • David Shaw – Stanford at Arizona State

2014 P5 Leaders

Overall: Brady Hoke – Michigan and Charlie Strong  – Texas at -3

SEC – Steve Spurrier – South Carolina -2
ACC – Dave Clawson – Wake -2, Larry Fedora – UNC -2, Al Golden – Miami -2
PAC12 –  Steve Sarkisian – USC -2
BIG 12  – Charlie Strong – Texas -3
BIG TEN – Brady Hoke – Michigan -3

Note: Week a -1 game Coach Effect Occurred in ()

-3 Games Coaching Effect

  • Brady Hoke – Michigan (4) (5) (6)
  • Charlie Strong – Texas (2) (3) (6)

-2 Games Coaching Effect

  • Dave Clawson – Wake Forest (1) (3)
  • Al Golden – Miami (1) (6)
  • Steve Spurrier – South Carolina (1) (+1 week 3) (5) (6)
  • Steve Sarkisian – USC (3) (6)
  • Larry Fedora – UNC (4) (6)
  • Kliff Kingsbury – Texas Tech (3) (7)
  • Bob Stoops – Oklahoma (6) (8)
  • Will Muschamp – Florida (7) (8)
  • Mike London – Virginia (4) (8)

-1 Game Coaching Effect

  • Urban Meyer – Ohio State (2)
  • Mike MacIntyre – Colorado (1)
  • Derek Mason – Vanderbilt (1)
  • Paul Rhoads – Iowa State (1), (2), (3 (+1))
  • Charlie Weis – Kansas (3) – FIRED
  • Mark Richt – Georgia (3)
  • Frank Beamer – VA Tech (+1 week 2) (3) (4) (+1 in week 6) in (8)
  • Sonny Dykes – Cal (4)
  • James Franklin – Penn State (5)
  • Kevin Wilson – Indiana (5)
  • Chris Petersen – Washington (5)
  • Nick Saban – Alabama (6)
  • Gary Andersen – Wisconsin (6)
  • Tim Beckman – Illinois (6)
  • Jim Mora – UCLA (+1 week 3) (6) (7)
  • Gus Malzahn – Auburn (7)
  • Paul Chryst – Pitt (4) (5) (+1 in week 8)
  • Mike Gundy – Oklahoma State (8)
  • Mike Riley – Oregon State (8)

Dropped from the list due to +1 in Week #8 – None

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