2012 Non-Conference SOS and SPG Rankings

Just like the inter-conference and total SOS/SPG rankings, the number associated with each team is the average strength of each college football game in the team’s OoC schedule.

FWIW – I would like to make some kind of change to the review to include odds of loss.  Example is Clemson.  They are still #9 over in OoC toughness, but games against Florida State and Auburn?  Good night.  That could be an easy 2-2 OoC unlike most schedules.

In the OoC averages there is a big gap from #1 to #69.  Most teams err on the side of weaker and conservative games for their OoC schedule.  A downside of this simple calculation are the odds of loss are not strongly factored. An example is Alabama.  While overall, their OoC schedule is not ranked high, but they do take a bigger risk many teams above them with the risk of playing Michigan.

Note: I put Boise State in here because (1) I put them in the inter-conference SOS/SPG ranks for comparison and (2) they have a OoC SOS average tougher than their conference SOS.  

SOS Calculations: This is the talent rank of all OoC games with The College Football Matrix field strength adjustment for each OoC game divided by total OoC games played.   The lower the number, the tougher the schedule.

SPG Calculations: While a SOS rank may be similar, teams playing those schedules are not.  The Strength Power Gap (SPG) is the difference in the average game number (SOS) minus the strength number of the team.