Texas Tech Red Raiders – 2013
Red Raiders Football 2013 CFBMatrix Breakdown
2013 Schedule Breakdown
LISTEN ))) How Does the Matrix Predict Wins and Loses (Warning! This could damage your perception of CFB)ABOUT : The CFBMatrix Win/Loss Predictions are simply the difference in true talent rank for each team coming into the 2013 season. In some cases win and loses are adjusted for game location due to home field advantage. In most cases, home field is not strong enough to over come talent difference. Win totals are based on the W/L result of (1) talent difference in each game then (2) adjusted for game location then Coach Effect trends of + and – game effects. When possible I will * a game as most likely to have a different result due to coach effect Percentage correct in 2013 was right below the 8 year average for AQ schools at 75.9% (yes using just talent adjusted rankings and schedule) Reading the CFBMatrix Schedules 1. 5 yr true recruited talent rank – The straight up difference in teams rankings will get about 66%-78% of all wins and losses correct each year.
2. If talent rank is close, home field advantage can be a positive or negative offset to the talent win/loss prediction. With stadium adjustments, correct win/loss rates on AQ games goes to 74%-82% for a season. 2013 average 75.9% 3. A GREEN X is a strong positive Coach Effect (click to read rankings) for this team, a RED X is a negative advantage. These are great places to find hidden upsets